They might be lucky to win three games, which means limited touchdown potential for Johnson and a shortage of run-friendly game scripts. I'll pass on Barkley at cost. Jordan McNamara: The news on Saquon Barkley does not reassure me. only site on the planet. Chase Edmonds, Arizona | Consensus Rankings RB25 | Consensus Projections RB23. Theyre going to be one of the worst teams in NFL History. Drew Brees is arguably the best screen game quarterback in NFL history. He has good hands, but his route running hurt his opportunities to make clean catches against man-to-man coverage. James Brimacombe: I view Melvin Gordon III this season a lot like I viewed Leonard Fournette in Jacksonville last offseason. Byars is the only running back in modern NFL history taken in the first 10 picks of the draft who had at least 800 career carries and a per-carry average of 3.6 yards or worse. Sigmund Bloom: Not that the Texans offense was anything you wanted to go near in fantasy drafts in the first place, but Johnson's ADP needs to adjust by multiple rounds to the news that he will be sharing the backfield with Phillip Lindsay and Mark Ingram II and no longer in the lead back role. John Riggins 19. Here are the NFL running backs with the most career touchdown runs over 50 yards (based on stats through 2016). Jeff Haseley: The Dolphins have a three-headed approach to the running back position this year. Heading into this season, their offensive line is mediocre, their quarterback situation is a mess, they have a new coach, and the rest of the skill position players are uninspiring. Victoria Geary: We should not steer clear of Harris completely for the 2021 season, but we should lower our expectations for a locked-and-loaded RB1 finish. First, Johnson turns 30 in December, and considering all the injuries he's dealt with in his NFL career, it's hard to see him aging well. The additions of Mike Boone and Javonte Williams haven't done anything to dispel this idea. Its easy and lazy to make comparisons to "Todd Gurley under Sean McVay," but that hope is pushing him into a tier of running backs that he does not belong. McKissic, one the league's better pass-catching backs. There are no guarantees he fits with what Atlanta wants to do or whether he has the endurance to handle a workload after last year's use. Some running backs, such as Chris Johnson this year, are a full 2.0 YPC over their offensive lines ADY. Tatum Bell isn't the only Lions running back of the 2000s to get snakebitten. Adrian Peterson 10. Sigmund Bloom: There are too many forces that Barkley has to swim upstream again to justify taking Barkley at his lofty ADP. And even if he played all three downs, the target competition is strong (Davante Adams, Darren Waller, Hunter Renfrow). His lack of use as a runner has to be a concern. Wait until next year. But the Ravens are a Super Bowl contender and won't veer from the system that's gotten them to the peak. Most overrated players in Madden 21 J.J. Watt, defensive end, Houston Texans. His average DVOA of 0.085% would rank him 31st in the NFL in 2009, right behind Rashard Mendenhall. This is more important for Barkley than most backs because he relies on his immense gifts more than most backs. Marcus Allen 15. Gaskin has an RB2 ceiling, but an RB3 value is a much stronger likelihood than many realize, whether it's Brown or a summer free-agent acquisition like Todd Gurley, Adrian Peterson, or a recent starter a team lets go to make room for an emerging force. This is a major factor in any expectation that Robinson would be fantasy lineup-relevant without an injury to one of the other options, especially beyond the early weeks of the season. Austin Ekeler, LA Chargers | Consensus Rankings RB7 | Consensus Projections RB7. 5. Myles Gaskin, Miami | Consensus Rankings RB25 | Consensus Projections RB26. Combine a true committee situation with a quarterback who racks up 1,000 yards and a handful of scores, and you have a ceiling on Dobbins that won't be unlocked without a rash of injuries. Unfortunately for him, the team replaced the coaching staff that he impressed and signed veteran Carlos Hyde and drafted Travis Etienne in the first round. Taylor can be a rock-solid option and still be pecked away with Hines and Mack enough to be more in the RB10-15 range. Harris has the potential to be this year's Clyde Edwards-Helaire, as he may end up burning us relative to his current ADP of RB13 and 20th overall. When I was comparing Bettis stats to the the 3 RBs I mentioned above, I saw that Bettis was highly overrated. But you do have to attribute some of his success to his top 10 run blocking. Gordon's arrow is pointing down for 2021, and he could be marginalized as the season goes on because the team also likes free agent signing Mike Boone. Lambertville, Michigan 48144. most overrated running backs of all time(734) 854-2000 Jeff Haseley: Clyde Edwards-Helaire has all of the tools and skills to be a successful fantasy back but failing to finish runs in the end zone has slowed his progress. Whenever a new coaching group comes in, especially an inexperienced one, there is always the risk that players with a high fantasy price underachieve. Yeah, us, too. Pittsburghs front five looks nothing like last years group. Johnson is the incumbent with the largest contract, and yet he's being downshifted in favor of Mark Ingram II -- who did his best work in Baltimore, where Texans head coach David Culley comes from -- and Phillip Lindsay. Cam Akers, LA Rams | Consensus Rankings RB12 | Consensus Projections RB13. The new coaching staff is inexperienced (second-youngest in the NFL), the system is unproven, the quarterback is going to gobble up a ton of rushing yards and touchdowns, and the front office has added running back depth aggressively in the offseason. Raheem Mostert, San Francisco | Consensus Rankings RB31 | Consensus Projections RB35. David Montgomery, Chicago | Consensus Rankings RB19 | Consensus Projections RB20. At present, I'm avoiding Gaskin because I do not trust the role, especially ahead of projected starters like Mike Davis and other players with higher upside like Travis Etienne. His week one status is in doubt, and there are reports he may not be ready for 12-15 touch workloads until October. Jeff Haseley: Josh McDaniels' history of using multiple running backs in his offense is enough to be concerned about Josh Jacobs not having a full-time role as the lead back for the Raiders. But he's 29, he's undersized, he had a hard time staying healthy last year, he adds little as a pass catcher, and the San Francisco backfield is awfully crowded now. No thanks. Then as soon as they go south, we pile on like kids in a mosh pit? We use cookies to personalize content, ads and analyze site traffic. Gaskin was a revelation versus his cost a year ago but is a buyer beware in 2021. Anthony Amico: Dobbins is being drafted as if he has a far greater stranglehold on this Ravens backfield than he likely will. The first thing that pops out at us is that Jerome Bettis 3.9 YPC is a good deal lower than the offensive lines mark of 4.29 (ADY). Gibson plays on a bad offense, has rushing competition from Robinson, and receiving competition from McKissic. Derrick Henry, Tennessee | Consensus Rankings RB4 | Consensus Projections RB4. Nick Chubb, Cleveland | Consensus Rankings RB10 | Consensus Projections RB12. 15 Best Running Backs of All-Time; Victoria Geary: We should not steer clear of Harris completely for the 2021 season, but we should lower our expectations for a locked-and-loaded RB1 finish. Robinson can be successful this year, but he will need luck and to earn the trust of the new coaching staff. Gordon was adequate last year, but that was almost purely on volume. There's zero appeal here. During the next few weeks, we here at NFL.com will unveil our Most Underrated and Overrated Players of All Time for all 32 teams and allow users to determine their choices as well.. But the Broncos re-signed Melvin Gordon III, which cannot be interpreted as anything short of a re-commitment to a 50/50 committee. However, his footwork and explosiveness in tight spaces allowed him to slip would-be tacklers with consistency. He made general managers look like geniuses with more than 2,000 total yards and 20 touchdowns in 2016. The Raiders have a lot of diverse depth with several different pass catchers, speed backs, and bruisers at the running back position for Jacobs to be drafted at his current ADP. His fantasy value came in catching 59 receptions, which won't happen in Arthur Smith's offense that doesn't throw to the tailbacks much. That looks like a mistake from where the situation sits now. Yes, but it doesn't feel like he'll be a top-10 type of running back, even in the Chiefs' potent offense. Sigmund Bloom: Jacobs' ADP would be justified and reasonable if the Raiders hadn't added Kenyan Drake, but they did. I can't see Mostert getting enough work to justify his current ADP. The team added Brian Robinson Jr Jr. on day two of the draft while retaining J.D. But just like Logan Thomas, McKissic benefitted from a perfect storm of low average depth of target throws from the quarterbacks last year and the lack of receivers outside of Terry McLaurin. In an attempt to point out these players, we asked our staff to look . They traded up in the draft to select Javonte Williams and, without the large contract, may have already released the former Charger. However, with Smith out of town, gunslinger Ryan Fitzpatrick now under center, and sophomore running back Antonio Gibson expected to step up, McKissic isnt someone that will have much value in most fantasy leagues. His ADP has been climbing recently, and while his price says drafters are aware of the easy schedule down the stretch, he's still being overvalued at his current price. Links to similar discussions on other positions: The flip side of succeeding with value players is failing with overvalued players. Unfortunately, Dobbins is on a team with an elite rushing quarterback in Lamar Jackson, who will always cap Dobbins' upside in total carries and goal-line looks. Without the volume, he is hard to use. Vegas used other backs last year and pigeonholed Jacobs as a two-down grinder. He's a strong talent with some flaws with a better all-around back ahead of him. But after he sat a game due to injury, the Bears' lead runner came out hot after their bye, and he finished at a torrid pace of 25.7 points per game as the overall RB1 from Weeks 12 to 17. He yields passing work to J.D. From Weeks 13 through 17, Dobbins received a measly two total targets from quarterback Lamar Jackson. With talented guys like Brady, Manning, Brees, Rodgers. There is no upside with drafting Gaskin this high. Take a chance on a committee back in the same range who might emerge into a starter or become one due to injury. Ryan Hester: This isnt a knock on Harris, whose athletic profile and projected workload are things fantasy players dream of. Single The depth behind Ekeler is average, but there are enough players to steal touches. There are backs going after Chubb who will receive bigger shares of their teams usage. Chad Parsons: McKissic is priced reasonably with an implied drop in targets. Victoria Geary: The Ravens have "made it a point of emphasis" to get Dobbins more looks in the passing game for 2021, but we know coach speak isn't very trustworthy during the offseason. J.K. Dobbins, Baltimore | Consensus Rankings RB18 | Consensus Projections RB19. Backs who will receive bigger shares of their teams usage are going after Chubb. This is exactly what the Steelers tried to do by selecting Najee Harris in the first round in the NFL Draft. Again, these are not the stats of an elite RB. Its almost always the other way around for top tier RBs. Johnson himself has acknowledged it, and the backs' usage in the first preseason game indicates frustration for anyone wanting to farm this barren land. Gaskin has missed long periods through injury in his first two seasons in the league. Josh Jacobs, Las Vegas | Consensus Rankings RB19 | Consensus Projections RB19. Leonard Fournette, Tampa Bay | Consensus Rankings RB30 | Consensus Projections RB27. The 2021 season will either change from the norm of what we have seen from Edmonds in the past or a new role where he flourishes with an increase in volume. Leonard Fournette, Tampa Bay | Consensus Rankings RB33 | Consensus Projections RB31. The Steelers were 23rd in red zone attempts per game in 2020 and were recently ranked as having the fourth-worst offensive line ahead of the 2021 season by Pro Football Focus. Myles Gaskin, Miami | Consensus Rankings RB24 | Consensus Projections RB22. Swift also picked up bad footwork habits working alongside a different style of back in Adrian Peterson last year, opting for inefficient jump cuts that hurt his game. Matt Waldman: Gaskin displayed underrated skills last year and has become a favorite sleeper in the fantasy community. LaDainian Tomlinson 6. Jordan McNamara: Javonte Williams got a major bump in value in the offseason when Melvin Gordon III was a free agent. I have seen Bettis crack the top 20 and even top 10 of some lists, and this is inexplicable. The Eagles also resigned Jordan Howard and added Kerryon Johnson to the backfield, exhibiting their lack of trust in Sanders as an every-down back. There isnt much to like here. Ryan Hester: Chubb shares his backfield with a very talented player in Kareem Hunt, and Hunt is the one who gets the lions share of the passing game work. Martin is one of the best running backs of all time because he blended good ability with outstanding durability and versatility. As everyone knows by now, Montgomery faced some of the worst run defenses in the league over that finishing stretch to put up those huge numbers. Crimson Tide skill players have been pretty good coming into the NFL recently, and Robinson's early start to camp has been generating buzz. That, plus the uncertainty of Edmond's role, leaves me more concerned than excited. He's playing for his fifth team in seven seasons and has never been an instinctive runner. Gordon caught only 32 passes last year, and outside of three games where he scored two touchdowns, he was a mediocre fantasy back. Ronaldinho is also one of the finest players of all time and the global icon dazzled with his Brazilian flair for across Europe, most notably for Barcelona and AC Milan. Leave him there for the next guy to take him. Therefore, we asked our staff to look through the Top 150 and identify players that should underperform their draft position. Ryan Hester: Even before he played double-digit snaps in the most meaningless of all meaningless preseason games, Jacobs was a solid fade. Swift has already broken the injury seal with a groin issue in camp, and Jamaal Williams has already been spoken of highly as a potential 1A to Swift's No. Investing in Sanders as your RB2 is likely to leave you feeling disappointed. Can he still be fantasy-relevant? Though volume is important in fantasy football, Harris will likely struggle behind his offensive line and may not garner an elite share of red zone touches. Kudos to James Robinson. In June 2008, Sports Illustrated polled nearly 500 players on the most overrated athlete in baseball, and Jeter was numero uno. The uncertainty of Fournette's touch volume will make it hard to start him with confidence throughout the season, so a late-sixth-round ADP seems steep. Harris stayed an extra year in college to improve his draft capital, and rightfully so, as the 2020 class was filled with elite running back talent. Phil Alexander: Michael Thomas' ankle injury opens up additional targets for Kamara, who will operate as New Orleans' de facto No. The Eagles consistently added to the depth chart this offseason with Kerryon Johnson, Jordan Howard, Kenneth Gainwell added to Boston Scott. His ADP says drafters are aware of the easy schedule down the stretch, but he's still being overvalued at his current price. With McKissic back taking over passing down duties and Brian Robinson Jr possibly taking over red zone opportunities, Gibson is being overvalued in fantasy drafts. And was brought back by a new staff that keeps saying he will be a significant part of the offense. In addition, Antonio Gibson finished the year banged up and ceding snaps to McKissic. Had more rushing touchdowns last year than Williams. Even if he receives most of the early-down and passing game work, it still wont be very valuable on a putrid offense. It also must be remembered his journey through the NFL before that. James Robinson, Jacksonville | Consensus Rankings RB29 | Consensus Projections RB30. But then he missed a game, the Bears had a bye, and he finished at a torrid pace of 25.7 points per game as the overall RB1 from Weeks 12 to 17. His fantasy value was bolstered late in the year due to an insane usage rate in the passing game, seeing a whopping 8.6 targets per game when Alex Smith started. The new coaching staff is inexperienced (second-youngest in the NFL), the system is unproven, the quarterback will gobble up a ton of rushing yards and touchdowns, and the front office has added running back depth aggressively in the offseason. James Robinson, Jacksonville | Consensus Rankings RB28 | Consensus Projections RB29. Phil Alexander: Hunt finished last season as the RB10 in PPR scoring, but his cumulative stats were buoyed by a four-game stint as Cleveland's starter when Nick Chubb was out with an MCL sprain.

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