Just ask Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell, who for years has had the worst PARS score in the country (currently -54). This version of partisan lean, meant to be used for congressional and gubernatorial elections, is calculated as 50 percent the state or districts lean relative to the nation in the most recent presidential election, 25 percent its relative lean in the second-most-recent presidential election and 25 percent a custom state-legislative lean. Jeanne Shaheen of New Hampshire, Mark Warner of Virginia and Tina Smith of Minnesota are electorally vulnerable. Both have negative net approval ratings despite governing fairly blue states. So is the gap between how conservatives and liberals view him. Americans vote for the politician they hate the least, not the politician they support. Mandela Barnes - Feb 1st, 2022 Re-election Bid Just the Latest Lie From Ron Johnson - A . Johnson, 67, is also the subject of an ethics complaint over a $280,000 gift to his chief of staff, which he argued was intended for the employees cancer treatments, NBC News reported. Follow him on Twitter @jeisrael. This is less true for governors, however. Ron Johnson, R-Wis., is one of the most vulnerable Republican incumbents, with the Cook Political Report rating the Wisconsin race as a toss-up and the race for Pennsylvania's open Senate seat as . An approval rating is a percentage determined by polling which indicates the percentage of respondents to an opinion poll who approve of a particular person or program. No matter who wins the 2020 presidential election, they wont be able to get much done if their party doesnt also win the Senate. Both politicians were backed by 43 percent of likely voters. Besides touting Republican wins on regulatory relief, strengthening the military and tax cuts, Johnson. 36% of Wisconsin voters approved of Johnson's job performance and 51% disapproved in the fourth quarter of 2021. Free shipping for many products! Governors net approval ratings (approval ratings minus disapproval ratings) for the first three months of 2022 relative to the FiveThirtyEight partisan leans of their states. 1990 FLEER BASEBALL 501-660 YOU PICK SEE SCANS .99 UNLIMITED SHIPPING HIGH GRADE. "First of all, I'm not a polarizing figure. Angus King and Bernie Sanders are considered Democrats for the purposes of these calculations. He assumed office on January 3, 2011. Some recent surveys put his approval at 35%, while a March Marquette University Law School poll found him at just 33% support. Plus 5 to minus 28 among moderates (the second sharpest decline). Pay no attention to countless testimonies? Quarterly poll conducted Oct. 1-Dec. 31, 2021, among a representative sample of 10,496 registered Wisconsin voters, with an unweighted margin of error of +/-1 percentage points. FiveThirtyEights partisan lean is the average margin difference between how a state or district votes and how the country votes overall. The world has been led by intensive and extensive waves of darkness from renaissance all the way down to the Covid crisis. Johnson is quite popular today with pro-Trump voters in Wisconsin (those who view Trump positively), drawing a net rating of around plus 60 in recent years. Membership, which includes a host of perks, including an ad-free website, tickets to marquee events like Summerfest, the Wisconsin State Fair and the Florentine Opera, a better photo browser and access to members-only, behind-the-scenes tours, starts at $9/month. More money is expected to flow into the race as the candidates barrel toward the November general election. Among independents, 56 percent disapprove of Johnsons job performance up 14 points since the third quarter of 2020, before the presidential election while the share with no opinion fell from 28 to 16 percent during the same period. In fact, the only current senator with a lower approval rating is Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell, who has infamously blocked hundreds of popular pieces of legislation.. Ronald Reagan 1981-89. Douglas Rooks, a Maine editor, commentator and reporter since 1984, is the author of three books, and is now researching the life and career of a U.S. Chief Justice. Each currently enjoys an extraordinary PARG of +75 or higher. In our average of polls of the generic congressional ballot,6 Republicans currently lead by 2.6 percentage points (45.5 percent to 42.9 percent). Some 95% of Democrats in the poll support Barnes over Johnson, the same as in June, while 92% of Republicans favor Johnson to Barnes, up slightly from 89% two months ago, according to the poll of 811 Wisconsin registered voters conducted between August 10-15. If you are an existing member, sign-in to leave a comment. Since 2015-16, Johnsons popularity rating has gone from minus 50 to minus 73 with Democrats; from minus 54 to minus 76 with liberals; from minus 31 to minus 45 with nonreligious voters; and from minus 19 to minus 32 with urban voters. Voters do not. Wisconsins senior senator should get a boost from traditional midterm dynamics, where the party out of power is helped by animosity toward the party in the White House. (Photo by Drew Angerer/Getty Images), Barnes tops Johnson by 7 points in Wisconsin Senate race: poll, Ron Johnson tries for a rebrand after years of controversy and Democratic attacks, 'Out of touch': Wisconsin's Barnes and Johnson prepare for general election campaign defined by attacks. Both Kelly and Republican State Attorney General Derek Schmidt won their respective nominations with little opposition. Gas prices have plummeted. The remaining 12% said they did not know or had no opinion. Rife's warrant was served Wednesday and he is awaiting . All Rights Reserved. Meanwhile, super PACs for both sides of the race are already pouring millions of dollars into Wisconsin, Forbes reported. The Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee has already spent money on primary-day attacks ads that accuse Johnson of working in Congress to benefit himself and wealthy donors at the expense of ordinary voters. This version of partisan lean, meant to be used for congressional and gubernatorial elections, is calculated as 50 percent the state or districts lean relative to the nation in the most recent presidential election, 25 percent its relative lean in the second-most-recent presidential election and 25 percent a custom state-legislative lean. . Franklin is professor of law and public policy at Marquette Law School, and director of the Marquette Law School Poll, And we see that downward movement across most of the groups we looked at. . And a high number of respondents who dont know which candidate they favor 36% in the primary for senator and 32% in the primary for governor allows lots of room for both races to change. The reelection races of Sens. Become a member for $9/month. Asked what Johnson is doing to improve his standing, spokeswoman Alexa Henning said his supporters discount mainstream media outlets and see through the lies and distortions of their false attacks. She said the senator had received strong encouragement to forgo his two-term pledge and run for re-election from Wisconsinites who share his grave concerns over the direction Democrats are taking our country.. Doing this for the Senate, we get the following table of senators with the best and worst statewide brands: Senators net approval ratings (approval ratings minus disapproval ratings) for the first three months of 2022 relative to the FiveThirtyEight partisan leans of their states. More:'He doesn't understand medicine is a science': Ron Johnson escalates 'guerrilla war' against medical establishment, More:Here are the 11 Democrats in Wisconsin's 2022 U.S. Senate race who are seeking to unseat Ron Johnson. 1 digital platform for progressive news, reaching millions of people each month. Last month, he opposed federal funds to help the American microchip industry compete against China, indicating that he did not want to "have government picking the winners and losers.". 2022 Governors Elections (39) In that sense, Johnsons political future may depend on maximizing turnout from the partys pro-Trump base while still winning over some anti-Trump Republicans and independents. 2023 ABC News Internet Ventures. Doug Jones (36) GOP Candidate: Ron Johnson (Incumbent) Dem Candidates: Mandela Barnes. Johnsons slippage has been minimal among pro-Trump voters and voters who describe themselves as very conservative. It has been very steep among Democrats and liberals. But hes got to execute on a winning message, and if we look at the numbers and the data, we know he hasnt been executing on a winning message.. In the Democratic primary for U.S. Senate, Barnes still leads, with 25% of the vote versus 21% for Milwaukee Bucks executive Alex Lasry, 9%for state treasurer Sarah Godlewski. As they have for years, three northeastern, blue-state Republicans lead the way: Govs. Sen. Ron Johnson (R-WI) is deeply unpopular among his own constituents, according to a new poll released Monday. Over the nine months previous to this, Johnson has averaged 35% favorable and 44% unfavorable ratings in the MU polls, the lowest since Marquette began polling about him in 2013. Barnes and Johnson have attacked each other as being too politically extreme and out of touch. Will they go back to the Republican Party because of Biden, or go to the polls and think, Yeah, I dont like Biden, but Ron Johnsons too crazy for Wisconsin?, Andrew Hitt, former chairman of the Republican Party of Wisconsin, called Johnson a master at retail politics whose plain-spoken, calling it as he sees it approach appeals to Wisconsinites when leveraged appropriately. He said the early data has no way of accounting for the X factor of Ron Johnson when hes campaigning.. The Milwaukee Journal-Sentinel (among other news outlets) is reporting that two-term Republican incumbent Ron Johnson has decided to run and will make his formal announcement very soon: Johnson . 2023 Morning Consult, All Rights Reserved. Independent Sens. And you might expect Democratic Gov. Wisconsin Democrats are eager to win back the Senate seat, which has been occupied by Republican Sen. Ron Johnson a top conservative foil and ally to former President Donald Trump since he . When the dates . While the results are better for Evers than Johnson, and offer the best news for Michels and Barnes among the challengers, the difference in most cases does not surpass the 6.3% margin of error for the governors race and 6.4% for the U.S.Senator race. People are more polarized over Johnson by party, by ideology, by gender and other measures. With a PARG of +13, Democratic Gov. The Supreme Court Not So Much. So, its not a short-term fluctuation, but a strong trend, said pollster Charles Franklin, who provided the data used here. In . Comparing Johnsons average net rating in 2019 with his average in the four most recent Marquette polls, Johnson has gone from: That suburban erosion can also be found in the WOW counties, the three suburban counties outside Milwaukee that for decades were a bedrock source of lopsided Republican support: Waukesha, Ozaukee and Washington. In October, Johnson said that the top 1% of earners already pay "pretty close to a fair share. One is that it illustrates how Johnson has come back from poor ratings before. How Daniel Kelly worked with the GOP to fuel election denialism. But that isnt likely to be enough in a state that produces such narrow margins of victory. Any off-year election is going to be a referendum on Joe Biden, which is why its going to be a really difficult year for Democrats in places like Wisconsin, said former Wisconsin radio host Charlie Sykes, an early proponent of Johnson during his 2010 bid whos turned critical of the senator and the Trump-inspired GOP. Get this delivered to your inbox, and more info about our products and services. Republican Sen. Ron Johnson of Wisconsin will defend his seat against Democratic Lt. Gov. That will be essential in a year when, based solely on partisan lean and generic congressional ballot polling, youd expect a Republican to win their home states, all else being equal. But Democrats believe that Johnson will suffer due to his strong support of Trump, even though polls show Republicans benefiting in 2022 due to Biden's low approval ratings. This includes Sens. Many conservatives see Barnes, an outspoken progressive whos called House progressive Squad member IIhan Omar of Minnesota brilliant, as the perfect foil for Johnson to caricature as extreme. The questions are: What happens to the political environment is it good enough that it can lift him over the top? Ronald Harold Johnson (Republican Party) is a member of the U.S. Senate from Wisconsin. If the Democratic presidential nominee carries their states (admittedly, this will be easier for Colorado than for Texas), the party may get a Senate seat as a bonus. 2022 Senate Elections (51) Nathaniel Rakich is a senior elections analyst at FiveThirtyEight. Sen. Ron Johnson (R-Wisc.) Sign up for free newsletters and get more CNBC delivered to your inbox. Thats not surprising, since were comparing his nine-year polling high point with his nine-year polling low point. 56% of independent voters in Wisconsin disapproved of Johnsons job performance up 14 percentage points since late 2020. Fifty-one percent of voters disapprove of his performance, including 56 . Dwight D. Eisenhower 1953-61. In Marquettes polling, most voters including about one-third of Republicans are skeptical toward Johnsons statements about COVID. Incumbent Republican Sen. Ron Johnson is widening the gap over his Democratic challenger, Mandela Barnes, in Wisconsin's Senate race, a new poll from Marquette Law School found. The gap between how Republicans and Democrats view him was large then, but its even larger now. Johnson, 67, has also been a magnet for criticism from Democrats who say he has spread harmful conspiracy theories about the . 1990 FLEER. . Jimmy Carter 1977-81. He simply cant introduce himself for the first time to an electorate that sees him spin further and further into the most toxic reaches.. A few weeks after the 2020 election, the Crystal Ball put out an early look at the 2022 Senate races. On the flip side, Republican Sen. Ron Johnson has one of the worst PARS scores (-18); despite his home state of Wisconsin having an R+4 partisan lean, his net approval rating is -14 percentage points. Everss PARG is just +1, suggesting perceptions of him are strongly dependent on partisanship. Lt. Gov. Barnes had been a community activist after college, and served in the Wisconsin State Assembly before becoming lieutenant governor. If the magic of 2016 (for Johnson) was to convert dont knows to favorables, this year it looks like people who didnt have an opinion are being converted into unfavorables, said Franklin. The American Independent is the No. GOP Love for Johnson Exceeded Only by Democratic Disdain. With Florida currently struggling with one of the highest rates of COVID-19 in the country, slightly more than half of voters (51 percent) disapprove of Governor Ron DeSantis' handling of the response to the coronavirus, while 46 percent approve, according to a Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pea-ack) University poll of registered voters in Florida released today. Independent Sens. Johnson said it was not his "job is not to micromanage a private company" and that putting the jobs in a different state would actually "benefit Wisconsin, Oshkosh, and Oshkosh workers. A FiveThirtyEight report last week suggested Barnes, who has endorsements from progressive Democratic Senators Bernie Sanders (Vt.) and Elizabeth Warren (Mass. The Cook Political Report lists the 2022 Senate race as a toss-up. Senator Ron Johnson's . Only 6 percent of employees able to do their jobs remotely Condition: --. As a result, more governors than senators have PARGs at the extreme ends of the spectrum, as you can see in the table below. One month ago, Biden had an approval rating of 42.2 percent and a disapproval rating of 52.2 percent, for a net approval rating of -10.0 points. The senators name recognition has grown to its highest levels. Because Massachusetts is so blue, thats no big whoop in the Bay State but in reddish Florida, it denotes a talented politician with a lot of cross-party appeal. According to a Morning Consult Political Intelligence survey of all 50 states, just 37% of registered Wisconsin voters approve of Johnson, while 51% disapprove. He has lost significant ground in the past few years with key voting groups such as women, moderates, independents and suburbanites, including voters in the once lopsided GOP stronghold of the WOW counties outside Milwaukee. Results from the most recent update. A Morning Consult poll earlier this year had Johnson's approval rating at 36 percent. Eli Lilly CEO announces it will cap out-of-pocket costs for its insulin at $35, GOP bill would fund security grants for 'pregnancy centers' only if they oppose abortion, House Republicans vote for repeal of climate-related investment regulations, Rep. James Comer criticizes U.S. attorney for not investigating Biden's dead son, House GOP members interrogate Biden administration efforts to address environmental racism, Fact check: No, the Biden administration is not trying to ban gas stoves. But its worth remembering that Lucy has held this football in front of Democrats before. John F. Kennedy 1961-63. Find many great new & used options and get the best deals for 1978 Topps Baseball (501-726) Pick from List EX-NM at the best online prices at eBay! Post author: Charles Franklin; Post published: August 17, 2022; Post category: Poll Release . The question is: What will those suburban swing voters think? Republican Sen. Ron Johnson faces a Wisconsin electorate that is more negative toward him and more polarizedoverhim than ever. If the same state had a Republican senator with the same approval rating, his PARS would be -5 (2-7 = -5). Why has the electorate increasingly polarized over Johnson? This made him the second-most unpopular senator out of the 100 currently serving, after only McConnell; Kentucky voters disapprove of him by a 60%-33% margin. Reagan's job approval ratings in the first years of his term were hurt by the bad economy, and the last years of his administration were marred by the negative . Johnsons decline in popularity since 2019 has occurred among almost all groups. Lyndon B. Johnson 1963-69. Bill Clinton 1993-2001. Republicans in Wisconsin said Johnson would do well to craft a message meant to appeal to voters in the middle, nodding to the approach of Virginia Gov. Plus 18 to minus 5 among voters in denser, metropolitan suburbs. Cory Gardner of Colorado, Joni Ernst of Iowa, Thom Tillis of North Carolina and John Cornyn of Texas. Contact Us, Take the next step, become a member. The fact that Johnsons negatives have spiked among Democrats and liberals may not be a big deal, since these are voters very unlikely to support him anyway. (That said, he did win by only 20 points, several points worse than the states partisan lean, suggesting that his unpopularity did have some effect. "I think when using federal tax dollars, you want to spend those in the most efficient way, and if it's more efficient, more effective to spend those in other states, I don't have a real problem with that. . That poll . @baseballot, Mitch McConnell (63 posts) He has refused to take responsibility for his unpopularity, claiming in January that it is all the news media's fault. The poll is hardly an outlier. Published with permission of The American Independent Foundation. By Eli Yokley. They all sit in closely divided states (from R+2 for New Hampshire to D+2 for Minnesota), yes, but they are all also quite popular. The 2022 Kansas gubernatorial election took place on November 8, 2022, to elect the governor of Kansas, with primary elections taking place on August 2, 2022. Tommy Rife, of Cedar Bluff, Va., is charged with one count of misdemeanor assault and battery, according to Richlands Police Chief Ron Holt. Johnson won his bid for a second term that year by 3 points over Democrat Russ Feingold. He has been endorsed by well-known political figures including Sens. Partisan Lean (5). Barnes tops Johnson by 7 points in Wisconsin Senate race: poll (The Hill), Ron Johnson tries for a rebrand after years of controversy and Democratic attacks (NBC News), 'Out of touch': Wisconsin's Barnes and Johnson prepare for general election campaign defined by attacks (CNN). His approval rating, according to a recent Marquette Law School poll, is at 41% up four points since June and yet, Wisconsin is on the verge of sending him back to Washington for a third term.. Instead of moving to the center, though, as he faces reelection this fall, the Wisconsin senator has . Need to report an error? 56% of independent voters in . But his rating among anti-Trump voters has steadily worsened, going from minus-24 in 2016 to minus-45 in 2020 to minus-58 this year. She pointed to tax breaks he supported, that benefited big donors to his campaigns. At the same time, Johnson has grown that much more unpopular among groups that tilt Democratic, tilt to the left and were already negative toward him. Angus King and Bernie Sanders are considered Democrats for these calculations. All in all, 39 percent of independent voters now strongly disapprove of Johnson, nearly five times as many as those who strongly approve. ", Johnson has also refused to fight to locate jobs in the United States instead of abroad. By contrast, Baldwin's fellow Senator Ron Johnson elicits a much less favourable net approval rating of -22%, since 49% disapprove and 27% approve of Senator Johnson's overall job performance. That conversation starts with Sen. Doug Jones, who comes in at No. But while Johnson is unpopular, few are ready to declare his chances dead on arrival as he revs up his third Senate campaign in a state Trump lost by just a sliver in 2020. Democrats are reportedly trying to recruit former Marine fighter pilot Amy McGrath, who raised $8.6 million for an unsuccessful 2018 congressional bid, to run against him. Bush 1989-93. Jon Tester (+33 PARS) and Sherrod Brown (+20 PARS), who have managed to win multiple elections despite hailing from red states. Multiple polls also show Johnson's approval ratings underwater. Sen. Ron Johnson of Wisconsin had not held office prior to his election to the Senate, being a CEO for a plastics and manufacturing company beforehand. In a state where the Democratic president eked out one of his narrowest margins of victory over Trump (. Johnson, who is one of Trumps biggest supporters in the Senate, has come under fire in recent months for controversial remarks, including arguing Social Security and Medicare should be categorized as discretionary spending, spreading misinformation about Covid-19 vaccines potentially causing AIDS, saying he doesnt trust the FBI after it searched Trumps Mar-a-Lago estate last week, and sending text messages to aides revealed at the January 6 hearings indicating he wanted to hand-deliver fake electors to former Vice President Mike Pence during the 2020 election. Senators, behind Pat Toomey of Pennsylvania (36%) and Mitch McConnell of Kentucky (33%), according to an April 2022 report from Morning Consult. Bjork, whos previously worked for Emilys List and President Barack Obamas Wisconsin campaigns, noted that running as a progressive in the state isnt impossible, pointing to the winning path charted by Sen. Tammy Baldwin (D-Wis.) a decade ago. Nathaniel Rakich is a senior elections analyst at FiveThirtyEight. Senator Ron Johnson against his top challengers, which show Johnson a bit behind three of the four Democratic challengers, and a similar matchup of incumbent Democratic Gov. Johnson has received his highest negatives ever (the share of voters who view him unfavorably) in Marquettes last four polls. 772 days 4 . Thats why, today, were unveiling a metric of a senators political standing that takes both partisanship and popularity into account. Becky Can I marry this table, or this, you know, clock? Since 2019, his net favorability rating in the WOW counties has dropped from an average of plus 41 to plus-8 in the last four Marquette polls combined. Barnes, 35 also has the support of independents, with 52% of respondents backing him over Johnson, a sizable leap from 41% in June. Organizations are considered partisan if they operate on behalf of a candidate, party, campaign committee, PAC, super PAC, hybrid PAC, 501 (c) (4), 501 (c) (5) or 501 (c) (6) organization that conducts a large majority of its political activity on behalf of . While other states may have difficulty motivating Democrats to turn out, the vitriol that Johnson inspires in Democrats in Wisconsin will help to drive turnout, said Wisconsin Democratic strategist Tanya Bjork. Adding to the bad news for Johnson is that his approval rating continues to be at an all-time low with just 37% of registered voters saying they approve of him and 46% saying they disapprove. The polling suggests that in the past two years, Johnson has positioned himself better for the first task than the second. Those is Tim. It began in the age of enlightment (renaissance). What is Wisconsin Supreme Court candidate Daniel Kelly's record on abortion? Wisconsin Lieutenant Governor Mandela Barnes who is running to become the Democratic nominee for the U.S. senate greets guests during a campaign event at The Wicked Hop on August 07, 2022 in Milwaukee, Wisconsin. Toward the bottom of the list are five governors running for reelection whose approval ratings dont look as strong as they seem after taking partisan lean into account. Its not crazy to think he could be vulnerable in 2020. While the majority of Wisconsin Republican voters (62 percent) approve of his job performance, that figure is down from 70 percent before the pandemic and from 78 percent in the first three months of 2017, just after his re-election. His net favorability improved during the campaign year of 2016 from net negative to net positive. ), Senators like Manchin and McConnell are exceptions, though. Although partisanship has been getting more important in gubernatorial races, it is not as dominant of a force in them as it is in federal elections.3. . At this point, very few people dont have an impression of him, Wikler said. Sign-in to take full advantage of your membership, including an ad-free website and improved browsing experience. In Wisconsin, Sen. Ron Johnson - who aligned with Trump's election challenge publicly while reportedly admitting privately that Biden won - starts the 2022 cycle with one of the weakest approval ratings (61 percent) among GOP voters. Tired of seeing banner ads on Urban Milwaukee? In July, in our last survey, President Biden's approval rating was 33 percent, one of his worst results of the cycle. Gerald Ford 1974-77. Incumbent Sens. Democratic Governor Laura Kelly ran for re-election to a second term. Previous Morning Consult polling has shown Johnson near the bottom of the pack in terms of base support among Republican senators running for re-election this year. Senator, Johnson won one of them, getting 45% versus 42% for Lasry. Susan Collins (25). Among likely voters, Sen. Ron Johnson is supported by 52% and Lt. Gov. In a June 2022 poll, 37% of voters viewed the senator favorably and 46% viewed . But he also stood to benefit from a difficult political climate for Democrats, reflected in President Joe Biden's poor approval ratings. FiveThirtyEights partisan lean metric is the average difference between how a state votes and how the country votes overall, with 2016 presidential election results weighted at 50 percent, 2012 presidential election results weighted at 25 percent and results from elections for the state legislature weighted at 25 percent. Johnsons name recognition is also significantly higher today than it was back then. Last week, U.S. Sen. Ron Johnson (R-Wis.) reneged on his pledge to step down after two terms and announced he would seek re-election.. But partisanship isnt the only factor in Senate races (yet); a senators popularity can still make a difference. Adding to the bad news for Johnson is that his approval rating continues to be at an all-time low with just 37% of registered voters saying they approve of him and 46% saying they disapprove. And the dividing lines over Johnson have deepened since he was last on the ballot in 2016. New Marquette Law School Wisconsin survey finds Barnes with 7-point lead over Johnson in U.S. Senate race, Evers ahead of Michels by 2 points in the race for governor, and Biden approval rating unchanged . With the combine drills about to start from Indianapolis, @TheRealForno has a three-round mock draft to get you excited He is also the most unpopular Republican among the broader electorate who is up for re-election next year. Calculating PARS and PARG is simple: Its just the difference between each states FiveThirtyEight partisan lean2 and the senator or governors net approval rating (approval rating minus disapproval rating). And if he is able to maintain a positive net approval rating (its +6 currently), that will be a sign of life for his candidacy. The poll also did head-to-head matchups of incumbent Republican U.S. Heading into this years campaign, though, Morning Consults quarterly tracking shows Johnsons approval rating severely underwater. Americans Like Bidens Student Debt Forgiveness Plan. Jones is a Democratic senator in R+27 Alabama, so hes fighting an uphill battle. (from left) Raphael Warnock, D-Ga., Catherine Cortez Masto, D-Nev., and Ron Johnson, R-Wis., are all facing .

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