In this installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, the crew discusses the best way to poll Americans satisfaction with their own lives and the direction of the country. The podcast crew discusses what Rep. Liz Cheney might do next with her message and what an independent bid for president might entail. File Upload. The crew speaks with professors Jane Junn and Karthick Ramakrishnan about the context of the Atlanta attacks and how Asian-American political participation has evolved in recent decades. In this installment, the crew discusses how any potential changes could reshape the nominating process. Thanks! The team also looks at how debates about "Critical Race Theory" entered the culture wars, particularly in schools and state legislatures. History professor Yohuru Williams speaks with Galen Druke about how the protest movement sparked by George Floyd's murder compares with past social justice movements. MANAGER'S SALARY. podcast transcripts and podcast transcription services. In light of new data showing union membership at its lowest point since the Bureau of Labor Statistics began counting, they also look at how that decline has shaped U.S. politics. You have to take and pass a grammar test, then submit a transcription template before you can get assignments from Rev. Good Contents Are Everywhere, But Here, We Deliver The Best of The Best.Please Hold on! The board of directors voted Friday to accept the resignation of David Held, effective June 1, and will then offer him the same job on . The crew discusses which indicators are worth watching to get a sense for how the parties will perform in the 2022 elections. In the 2020 election cycle, Georgia found itself at the center of the American political universe. The team debates if Americans really do move to Canada, or to different U.S. states, for political reasons. The posting for the podcast's freelance audio editor position can be found here. Galen speaks with him. The crew looks at why it took 15 votes to get Rep. Kevin McCarthy elected House Speaker and what that process says about the two years ahead and the GOP more broadly. James Acton is a physicist and co-director of the Nuclear Policy Program at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace. They also mark two years since the U.S. shut down in response to the coronavirus pandemic, by using data to explore some of the ways American life has changed in that time. Ron DeSantis are the only candidates who currently have sizable support in national polls. They also consider whether the ensuing confirmation process will impact the countrys broader political environment in a Midterm election year. Then, Equis Research co-founder Carlos Odio joins the pod to break down a new poll that asked Latino Americans which party they are favoring in the midterm elections. Labor Day traditionally marks the time when general election campaigning truly ramps up summer vacation is over, TV ads flood the airways and pollsters switch their models from registered voters to likely voters. The crew debates why politicians break with their parties in high-profile ways and what the repercussions can be. As of Monday, all U.S. troops have withdrawn from Afghanistan following a chaotic evacuation from the country. The crew discusses what legal debates are currently playing out, what the decision could mean for the future of Roe v. Wade, and where Americans stand on abortion restrictions in general. By our estimates, the Democrat is on track to win by 45 points, compared to 30 points in '22 and 36 points in '20. twitter. This sample of 100 outcomes gives you an idea of the range of scenarios the model considers possible. Nate Silver and Galen Druke open the mailbag and answer listener questions, including how much it would cost to "fix polling" and why Vice President Harris is polling less favorably than President Biden. Nate Silver and the FiveThirtyEight team cover the latest in politics, tracking the issues and game-changers every week. In this installment of Model Talk," Nate and Galen reflect on the many twists and turns of the 2022 campaign so far, including the most salient policy issues and what the final results could tell us about pollsters performance this cycle. We assess the state of American democracy, based on a new survey from Bright Line Watch, a group of political scientists that monitors threats to our democratic systems. It originally aired at the beginning of 2020 and across three episodes we looked at how our presidential primary system came to be, its consequences and how it could be different. 04:58 PM. In this installment, Jennifer Merolla, a Professor of Political Science at UC Riverside, and Hannah Hartig, a research associate at Pew Research Center reflect on the political climate in the immediate aftermath of 9/11 and whether a similar American consensus is possible today. The crew discusses what her path to the nomination could look like, given that Trump and Florida Gov. He is now facing a primary from Congressman Jody Hice, whom Trump has endorsed, in his 2022 re-election bid. The cofounders of Equis Research -- a political data firm focused on Latino voters -- share their research on why that swing happened. The crew discusses what high gas prices have meant for politics historically and outline the debates in Washington over how to bring those prices down. The Perks Workers Want Also Make Them More Productive, Democrats Are Open To Ditching Biden In 2024. Galen Druke speaks with political science professors Sunshine Hillygus and Patrick Eagan about the history of wedge issues and how they shape U.S. politics. The crew discusses why Sarah Palin may not be a shoe-in for a vacant House seat in Alaska. How FiveThirtyEight Calculates Pollster Ratings. They also explain why a dramatic shift among independent women in a recent New York Times poll shouldn't be taken at face value but also shouldn't undercut the poll. Cuomo denied the allegations, but has faced overwhelming pressure to resign from fellow Democrats, including President Joe Biden. They also ask whether the US is in a recession, whether Andrew Yang's third party will succeed and how the DOJ's Jan. 6th investigation is affecting former President Trump. Crime analyst Jeff Asher discussed what those numbers can -- and can't -- tell us, and explains the challenges in collecting crime data. In early January of 2020, then-President Trump encouraged Raffensperger to help overturn the election results in Georgia. Subscribe and listen Also available wherever you listen to podcasts Google Stitcher iHeartRadio Castbox TuneIn Since then, the FiveThirtyEight blog has covered a broad spectrum of subjects including politics, sports, science, economics, and popular culture. Galen speaks with James Acton, the co-director of the Nuclear Policy Program at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, about how leaders and experts weigh the risks of a nuclear conflict. send a tweet. The crew debates the value of polling whether Americans want Biden and Trump to run again in 2024. Americans' political views oftentimes don't align neatly with a single party, but instead draw on both conservative and liberal positions. 02:13:21 - Heartland POD on Twitter - @TheHeartlandPOD Co-HostsAdam Sommer @Adam_Sommer85 Rachel Parker @RaichetP Sean Diller @SeanDillerCO https://heartlandp In Matthew Continetti's new book, The Right: The Hundred Year War For American Conservatism, he argues that in order to understand where the right is heading, you have to understand where it's been. Last week, we began to explore the most high-profile of those mayoral contests -- the New York City Democratic primary. How The Federal Reserve Is The Shadow Branch Of The Government, Why Original Predictions About The War In Ukraine Were So Off. Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. They also analyze a new poll from the University of New Hampshire that shows the states likely GOP primary voters favoring Florida Gov. They also discuss how incumbents have been faring overall in this midterms primaries. Mona Chalabi of FiveThirtyEight.com joins NPR's Rachel Martin for a look at who those people are. Politics Podcast: American Opinion Of China Has Plummeted, Politics Podcast: Biden's Second State Of The Union Was His First Campaign Speech, Politics Podcast: How Our 2022 Forecasts Actually Did, Politics Podcast: The Politics Of Loneliness, Politics Podcast: The Elections Happening In 2023. A bipartisan coalition of ten senators, with the support of President Biden, announced a $600 billion infrastructure plan last week. Technology and politics reporter Kaleigh Rogers discusses the influence of conspiracy theories on the events that led to the Jan. 6th riot, why people believe in conspiracy theories in the first place, and what it means for the future of American politics. 450 episodes. Dive in and Share your insights! The crew checks in on the California recall election and other upcoming races, and talks about how a Trump endorsement is shaping a Wyoming primary. Joining the podcast are Andra Gillespie, political science professor at Emory University, Besheer Mohamed, senior researcher at Pew Research Center, and Stacey Holman, the director of PBSs recent documentary series The Black Church.". We continue our conversation about challenges to democracy in America by talking with Georgia Secretary of State Brad Raffensperger. FiveThirtyEight Filed under Podcast-19 Jun. No place like 'Nam. The Rules of the Game podcast discusses and compares democratic institutions from around the world. The crew discusses Manchins rationale and where Democrats might go from here. Later, Monica Potts joins to discuss why voters sometimes contradict their partisan beliefs on ballot measures. Galen Druke speaks with Equis Research co-founder Carlos Odio about whether that trend continued in the 2022 midterms and what it all means for 2024. Lastly, they ask whether a recent survey of Americans attitudes about secession is a good or bad use of polling. Galen Druke and Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux discuss the messages that Senators sent and whether we were able to glean anything about what kind of Justice Jackson would be. They also talk about how the California recall election is shaping up after a recent poll showed increased support for recalling current Governor Gavin Newsom. The Supreme Court is probably the most recognizable example, but its not the only one. RSS Loading. In this installment, Robert Crews, a History professor from Stanford University, joins to reflect on the history of the Taliban and the current political landscape in Afghanistan. fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts. Nate and Galen answer listener questions in this installment of Model Talk. They also consider whether a poll that asks Americans if they think the U.S. is currently in a recession is a "good or bad use of polling.". In this show, Jody Avirgan, Nicole Hemmer and Kellie Carter Jackson (and guests) take one moment, big or small, from that day in U.S. political history and explore how it might inform our present -- all in about fifteen minutes. fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts. 10 Wednesday AM Reads. The website, which takes its name from the number of electors in the United States electoral college, was founded on March 7, 2008, as a polling aggregation website with a blog created by analyst Nate Silver. Since January 2021, eleven states have enacted laws that limit how teachers can talk about race and racism in schools and close to 200 bills have been introduced in 40 states.

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